Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Oregon Ducks		Utah Utes

	1	2
	2.05	1.8
	2.05	1.8
	2.02	1.8
	1.94	1.8
	2.04	1.85
	2	1.73
	2	1.81	Watch
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.66)	1.8 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oregon Ducks
47.2%

Utah Utes
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oregon Ducks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oregon Ducks's form might have worsened.

Utah Utes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utah Utes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oregon Ducks than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oregon Ducks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Utes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utah Utes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Oregon Ducks - Utah Utes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oregon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Utah will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oregon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

Oregon has currently - 8-2, has a chance of wins conference (26%), has a very small chance of makes playoff (5%), has a very small chance of wins national title (<1%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Utah has currently - 8-2, has a chance of wins conference (32%), has a small chance of makes playoff (13%), has a very small chance of wins national title (2%), has a chance of win league (30%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oregon won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Utah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Utah to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Oregon won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 265-281.

Including matches at home between the teams Oregon won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 142-118.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oregon Ducks football
NCAA College Football
12.11.22	Oregon Ducks - Washington Huskies	34:37 ✺
05.11.22	Colorado Buffaloes - Oregon Ducks	10:49 ✺
29.10.22	California Golden Bears - Oregon Ducks	24:42 ✺
22.10.22	Oregon Ducks - UCLA Bruins	45:30 ✺
08.10.22	Arizona Wildcats - Oregon Ducks	22:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW
- Utah Utes football
NCAA College Football
12.11.22	Utah Utes - Stanford Cardinal	42:7 ✺
27.10.22	Washington State Cougars - Utah Utes	17:21 ✺
15.10.22	Utah Utes - USC Trojans	43:42 ✺
08.10.22	UCLA Bruins - Utah Utes	42:32 ✺
01.10.22	Utah Utes - Oregon State Beavers	42:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
03.12.21	Utah Utes - Oregon Ducks	38:10
20.11.21	Utah Utes - Oregon Ducks	38:7
06.12.19	Oregon Ducks - Utah Utes	37:15
10.11.18	Utah Utes - Oregon Ducks	32:25
28.10.17	Oregon Ducks - Utah Utes	41:20
19.11.16	Utah Utes - Oregon Ducks	28:30
26.09.15	Oregon Ducks - Utah Utes	20:62

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