Match Info

NFL - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Brazil	SporTV
Croatia	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN, Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Pittsburgh Steelers		Baltimore Ravens

	1	2
	2.7	1.49	Watch
	2.75	1.48
	2.62	1.47	Watch
	2.78	1.41	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.7	1.49
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.42)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Steelers
35.5%

Baltimore Ravens
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Baltimore Ravens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Steelers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Ravens than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltimore Ravens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Pittsburgh Steelers - Baltimore Ravens Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Baltimore will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 71.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 41.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, OT - Baltimore (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pittsburgh Steelers will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Baltimore (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
04:06, Walker D. (Touchdown),
04:06, Loop T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 3)
01:23, Loop T. (Field Goal),
06:04, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (10 - 0)
06:37, Heyward C. (Touchdown),
06:37, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
10:29, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (13 - 14)
06:18, Flowers Z. (Touchdown),
06:18, Loop T. (Extra Point),
11:11, Gainwell K. (Touchdown),
11:11, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
12:40, Flowers Z. (Touchdown),
12:40, Loop T. (Extra Point),
14:05, Austin C. (Touchdown),
14:05, Boswell C. (Missed Extra Point),
14:58, Loop T. (Missed Field Goal),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Baltimore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baltimore could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 403:410. (average 20.2:20.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 195:192. (average 21.7:21.3).

Outrights of NFL for now

Baltimore Ravens: 8.36% Pittsburgh Steelers: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
28.12.25	Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers	13:6 ✺
21.12.25	Detroit Lions - Pittsburgh Steelers	24:29 ✺
15.12.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Miami Dolphins	28:15 ✺
07.12.25	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	22:27 ✺
30.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Buffalo Bills	7:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWL
- Baltimore Ravens
NFL
27.12.25	Green Bay Packers - Baltimore Ravens	24:41 ✺
21.12.25	Baltimore Ravens - New England Patriots	24:28 ✺
14.12.25	Cincinnati Bengals - Baltimore Ravens	0:24 ✺
07.12.25	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	22:27 ✺
27.11.25	Baltimore Ravens - Cincinnati Bengals	14:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
07.12.25	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	22:27
11.01.25	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	28:14
21.12.24	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	34:17
17.11.24	Pittsburgh Steelers - Baltimore Ravens	18:16
06.01.24	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	10:17
08.10.23	Pittsburgh Steelers - Baltimore Ravens	17:10
01.01.23	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	13:16

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