Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Purdue Boilermakers		Northwestern Wildcats

	1	2
	1.74	2.15
	1.76	2.1
	1.77	2.02
	1.76	2.15
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.74	2.15
	1.77	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.1)	2.09 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: Big Ten Network

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Current Win Probability

Purdue Boilermakers
54.5%

Northwestern Wildcats
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Purdue Boilermakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Purdue Boilermakers's performance.

Northwestern Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northwestern Wildcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Purdue Boilermakers than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Purdue Boilermakers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northwestern Wildcats than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northwestern Wildcats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Purdue Boilermakers - Northwestern Wildcats Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Northwestern will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 10)
07:39, Akers L. (Field Goal),
11:51, Porath S. (Field Goal),
14:22, Himon J. (Touchdown),
14:22, Akers L. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
12:37, Porter C. (Touchdown),
12:37, Akers L. (Extra Point),
14:35, Edrine J. (Touchdown),
14:35, Porath S. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
12:16, Porath S. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 3)
04:46, Akers L. (Field Goal),
09:44, Mockobee D. (Touchdown),
09:44, Porath S. (Extra Point),
Overtime (0 - 6)
01', Himon J. (Touchdown),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Purdue won 3.

Purdue has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Northwestern is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Purdue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Purdue won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 193:253 (average 17.5:23).

Including matches at home between the teams Purdue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 95:150 (average 19:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Purdue Boilermakers football
NCAA College Football
18.10.24	Purdue Boilermakers - Oregon Ducks	0:35 ✺
12.10.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Purdue Boilermakers	50:49 OT ✺
05.10.24	Wisconsin Badgers - Purdue Boilermakers	52:6 ✺
28.09.24	Purdue Boilermakers - Nebraska Cornhuskers	10:28 ✺
21.09.24	Oregon State Beavers - Purdue Boilermakers	38:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Northwestern Wildcats football
NCAA College Football
26.10.24	Iowa Hawkeyes - Northwestern Wildcats	40:14 ✺
19.10.24	Northwestern Wildcats - Wisconsin Badgers	3:23 ✺
11.10.24	Maryland Terrapins - Northwestern Wildcats	10:37 ✺
05.10.24	Northwestern Wildcats - Indiana Hoosiers	24:41 ✺
21.09.24	Washington Huskies - Northwestern Wildcats	24:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
18.11.23	Northwestern Wildcats - Purdue Boilermakers	23:15
19.11.22	Purdue Boilermakers - Northwestern Wildcats	17:9
20.11.21	Northwestern Wildcats - Purdue Boilermakers	14:32
14.11.20	Purdue Boilermakers - Northwestern Wildcats	20:27
09.11.19	Northwestern Wildcats - Purdue Boilermakers	22:24
30.08.18	Purdue Boilermakers - Northwestern Wildcats	27:31
11.11.17	Northwestern Wildcats - Purdue Boilermakers	23:13

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