The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sam Houston State Bearkats 41.9%
New Mexico State Aggies 58.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
62.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sam Houston State Bearkats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
New Mexico State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sam Houston State Bearkats than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico State Aggies than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Sam Houston State Bearkats - New Mexico State Aggies Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sam Houston State will win (votes: 1 - 25%). New Mexico State will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:25
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 0)
02:20, Guillory II T. (Touchdown),
02:20, Carpenter S. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 14)
05', (Touchdown),
05', (Extra Point),
09', (Field Goal),
15', (Touchdown),
15', (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 16)
01', (Touchdown),
01', (Extra Point),
05', (Touchdown),
05', (Extra Point),
13', (Field Goal),
14', (Touchdown),
4th Quarter (7 - 0)
11', (Touchdown),
11', (Extra Point),
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Sam Houston State (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by New Mexico State have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sam Houston State may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sam Houston State has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:75 (averaging 18:25 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sam Houston State against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 31:11 goals.