Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1


	South Florida Bulls		Memphis Tigers

	1	2
	3.35	1.34
	3.4	1.33
	3.4	1.31
	3.7	1.3
	3.21	1.34	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.35	1.35
	3.4	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.62)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN

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Current Win Probability

South Florida Bulls
28%

Memphis Tigers
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Florida Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Florida Bulls's form might have worsened.

Memphis Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memphis Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Florida Bulls than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Florida Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis Tigers than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memphis Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

South Florida Bulls - Memphis Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:35

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 14)
05:10, Blankumsee D. (Touchdown),
05:10, Costa C. (Extra Point),
09:08, Anderson M. (Touchdown),
09:08, Costa C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 0)
15:00, Gramatica N. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (0 - 7)
03:43, Martin C. (Touchdown),
03:43, Costa C. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Florida won 1.

Recent matches South Florida is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Memphis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Memphis is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Memphis to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 7 head-to-head matches South Florida won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 189:262 (average 27:37.4).

Including matches at home between the teams South Florida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37:96 (average 12.3:32).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Florida Bulls football
NCAA College Football
28.09.24	Tulane Green Wave - South Florida Bulls	45:10 ✺
21.09.24	South Florida Bulls - Miami FL Hurricanes	15:50 ✺
14.09.24	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - South Florida Bulls	24:49 ✺
07.09.24	Alabama Crimson Tide - South Florida Bulls	42:16 ✺
31.08.24	South Florida Bulls - Bethune-Cookman Wildcats	48:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LLWLW
- Memphis Tigers football
NCAA College Football
28.09.24	Memphis Tigers - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	24:7 ✺
21.09.24	Navy Midshipmen - Memphis Tigers	56:44 ✺
14.09.24	Florida State Seminoles - Memphis Tigers	12:20 ✺
07.09.24	Memphis Tigers - Troy Trojans	38:17 ✺
31.08.24	Memphis Tigers - North Alabama Lions	40:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
04.11.23	Memphis Tigers - South Florida Bulls	59:50
07.11.20	Memphis Tigers - South Florida Bulls	34:33
23.11.19	South Florida Bulls - Memphis Tigers	10:49
12.11.16	Memphis Tigers - South Florida Bulls	42:49
02.10.15	South Florida Bulls - Memphis Tigers	17:24
22.11.14	Memphis Tigers - South Florida Bulls	31:20
16.11.13	South Florida Bulls - Memphis Tigers	10:23

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