Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Southern Methodist Mustangs		Cincinnati Bearcats

	1	2
	2.5	1.58
	2.35	1.61
	2.33	1.6
	2.38	1.54
	2.51	1.58
	2.38	1.53
	2.4	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Methodist Mustangs
39.5%

Cincinnati Bearcats
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Methodist Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cincinnati Bearcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southern Methodist Mustangs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bearcats than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati Bearcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Southern Methodist Mustangs - Cincinnati Bearcats Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Southern Methodist will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Southern Methodist: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:32

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Preview

Cincinnati has currently - 5-1, has a chance of wins conference (32%), has a very small chance of makes playoff (<1%), has a very small chance of wins national title (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southern Methodist won 1.

Recent matches Southern Methodist is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cincinnati is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cincinnati will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Southern Methodist won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 106-213.

Including matches at home between the teams Southern Methodist won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36-109.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Methodist Mustangs football
NCAA College Football
14.10.22	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Navy Midshipmen	40:34 ✺
05.10.22	UCF Knights - Southern Methodist Mustangs	41:19 ✺
24.09.22	Southern Methodist Mustangs - TCU Horned Frogs	34:42 ✺
17.09.22	Maryland Terrapins - Southern Methodist Mustangs	34:27 ✺
10.09.22	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Lamar Cardinals	45:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW
- Cincinnati Bearcats football
NCAA College Football
08.10.22	Cincinnati Bearcats - South Florida Bulls	28:24 ✺
01.10.22	Tulsa Golden Hurricane - Cincinnati Bearcats	21:31 ✺
24.09.22	Cincinnati Bearcats - Indiana Hoosiers	45:24 ✺
17.09.22	Miami OH RedHawks - Cincinnati Bearcats	17:38 ✺
10.09.22	Cincinnati Bearcats - Kennesaw State Owls	63:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
20.11.21	Cincinnati Bearcats - Southern Methodist Mustangs	48:14
24.10.20	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Cincinnati Bearcats	13:42
27.10.18	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Cincinnati Bearcats	20:26 OT
21.10.17	Cincinnati Bearcats - Southern Methodist Mustangs	28:31
18.10.14	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Cincinnati Bearcats	3:41
09.11.13	Cincinnati Bearcats - Southern Methodist Mustangs	28:25

Southern Methodist Mustangs - Cincinnati Bearcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide