Match Info

NFL - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Peru	Fox Sports
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Tampa Bay Buccaneers		Philadelphia Eagles

	1	2
	2.6	1.53	Watch
	2.56	1.48	Watch
	2.71	1.52
	2.51	1.50	Watch
	2.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.32)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
36.8%

Philadelphia Eagles
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Philadelphia Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Eagles than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Philadelphia (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 44.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 14)
02:09, Brown S. (Touchdown),
02:09, Elliott J. (Extra Point),
07:52, Goedert D. (Touchdown),
07:52, Elliott J. (Extra Point),
15:00, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (3 - 10)
08:50, Goedert D. (Touchdown),
08:50, Elliott J. (Extra Point),
14:02, Elliott J. (Field Goal),
15:00, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (14 - 7)
05:09, Egbuka E. (Touchdown),
05:09, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
11:09, Barkley S. (Touchdown),
11:09, Elliott J. (Extra Point),
12:40, Irving B. (Touchdown),
12:40, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (5 - 0)
02:40, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
14:54, Merriweather K. (Safety),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 257:195. (average 25.7:19.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 175:139. (average 25:19.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
21.09.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New York Jets	29:27 ✺
15.09.25	Houston Texans - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	19:20 ✺
07.09.25	Atlanta Falcons - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20:23 ✺
23.08.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Buffalo Bills	19:23 ✺
16.08.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Philadelphia Eagles
NFL
21.09.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Los Angeles Rams	33:26 ✺
14.09.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Philadelphia Eagles	17:20 ✺
04.09.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Dallas Cowboys	24:20 ✺
22.08.25	New York Jets - Philadelphia Eagles	17:19 ✺
16.08.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Cleveland Browns	13:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
29.09.24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles	33:16
15.01.24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles	32:9
25.09.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles	11:25
16.01.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles	31:15
14.10.21	Philadelphia Eagles - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	22:28
16.09.18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles	27:21
11.08.16	Philadelphia Eagles - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17:9

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