Match Info

NCAA

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Sport 2


	Tennessee Volunteers		Vanderbilt Commodores

	1	2
	1.8	2.05
	1.74	2.04
	1.83	2.06
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.76	1.99	Watch
	1.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.54)	2.09 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tennessee Volunteers
54.5%

Vanderbilt Commodores
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tennessee Volunteers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tennessee Volunteers's form might have worsened.

Vanderbilt Commodores has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vanderbilt Commodores's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tennessee Volunteers than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanderbilt Commodores than the current prediction. (-5%)

Tennessee Volunteers - Vanderbilt Commodores Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:32

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
11:11, Bishop D. (Touchdown),
11:11, Gilbert M. (Extra Point),
14:01, Alexander S. (Touchdown),
14:01, Taylor B. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 14)
03:21, Young M. (Touchdown),
03:21, Taylor B. (Extra Point),
04:26, Brazzell C. (Touchdown),
04:26, Gilbert M. (Extra Point),
07:09, Bishop D. (Touchdown),
07:09, Gilbert M. (Extra Point),
14:48, Richardson T. (Touchdown),
14:48, Taylor B. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 10)
06:35, Alexander S. (Touchdown),
06:35, Taylor B. (Extra Point),
12:48, Taylor B. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (3 - 14)
02:29, Gilbert M. (Field Goal),
06:05, Pavia D. (Touchdown),
06:55, Taylor B. (Extra Point),
09:10, Alexander S. (Touchdown),
09:10, Taylor B. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tennessee won 5.

Tennessee has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vanderbilt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tennessee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vanderbilt has had a series of home games.

Tennessee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tennessee won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 431:320. (average 30.8:22.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tennessee won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 208:139. (average 34.7:23.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tennessee Volunteers football
NCAA College Football
22.11.25	Florida Gators - Tennessee Volunteers	11:31 ✺
15.11.25	Tennessee Volunteers - New Mexico State Aggies	42:9
01.11.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Oklahoma Sooners	27:33 ✺
25.10.25	Kentucky Wildcats - Tennessee Volunteers	34:56 ✺
18.10.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Tennessee Volunteers	37:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- Vanderbilt Commodores football
NCAA College Football
22.11.25	Vanderbilt Commodores - Kentucky Wildcats	45:17 ✺
08.11.25	Vanderbilt Commodores - Auburn Tigers	45:38 OT ✺
01.11.25	Texas Longhorns - Vanderbilt Commodores	34:31 ✺
25.10.25	Vanderbilt Commodores - Missouri Tigers	17:10 ✺
18.10.25	Vanderbilt Commodores - LSU Tigers	31:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
30.11.24	Vanderbilt Commodores - Tennessee Volunteers	23:36
25.11.23	Tennessee Volunteers - Vanderbilt Commodores	48:24
26.11.22	Vanderbilt Commodores - Tennessee Volunteers	0:56
27.11.21	Tennessee Volunteers - Vanderbilt Commodores	45:21
12.12.20	Vanderbilt Commodores - Tennessee Volunteers	17:42
30.11.19	Tennessee Volunteers - Vanderbilt Commodores	28:10
24.11.18	Vanderbilt Commodores - Tennessee Volunteers	38:13

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