Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Troy Trojans		South Alabama Jaguars

	1	2
	2.1	1.77
	1.95	1.87
	1.85	1.91
	2.12	1.79
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.72)	1.8 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troy Trojans
47.5%

South Alabama Jaguars
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troy Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troy Trojans's form might have worsened.

South Alabama Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Alabama Jaguars's recent form is better than expected.

Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
07:48, Kilcrease T. (Touchdown),
07:48, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
11:55, Woods M. (Touchdown),
11:55, DiBoyan H. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 0)
13:25, Meadows T. (Touchdown),
13:25, Scott T. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
02:53, DiBoyan H. (Field Goal),
07:58, Davenport B. (Touchdown),
07:58, DiBoyan H. (Extra Point),
11:10, Epps D. (Touchdown),
11:10, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 7)
08:13, Renfroe S. (Field Goal),
13:06, Davenport B. (Touchdown),
13:06, DiBoyan H. (Extra Point),
Overtime (7 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troy won 4.

South Alabama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

South Alabama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Troy won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 283:219. (average 23.6:18.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Troy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 156:123. (average 26:20.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troy Trojans football
NCAA College Football
20.09.25	Buffalo Bulls - Troy Trojans	17:21 ✺
13.09.25	Troy Trojans - Memphis Tigers	7:28 ✺
06.09.25	Clemson Tigers - Troy Trojans	27:16 ✺
30.08.25	Troy Trojans - Nicholls State Colonels	38:20 ✺
30.11.24	Troy Trojans - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	52:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- South Alabama Jaguars football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	North Texas Mean Green - South Alabama Jaguars	36:22 ✺
20.09.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	20:38 ✺
13.09.25	Auburn Tigers - South Alabama Jaguars	31:15 ✺
06.09.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Tulane Green Wave	31:33 ✺
30.08.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Morgan State Bears	38:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
15.10.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	25:9
02.11.23	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	28:10
20.10.22	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	6:10
06.11.21	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	31:24
05.12.20	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	0:29
16.10.19	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	37:13
23.10.18	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	17:38

Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide