Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Tulane Green Wave		Southern Methodist Mustangs

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.69	2.2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.77	2.19
	1.79	2.13
	1.67	2.1
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)	2.15 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulane Green Wave
55.6%

Southern Methodist Mustangs
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulane Green Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulane Green Wave's form might have worsened.

Southern Methodist Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern Methodist Mustangs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulane Green Wave than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tulane Green Wave - Southern Methodist Mustangs Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tulane will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Southern Methodist will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tulane won 1.

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Southern Methodist could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tulane will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Tulane to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tulane won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 279-331.

Including matches at home between the teams Tulane won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 174-149.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tulane Green Wave football
NCAA College Football
24.11.23	Tulane Green Wave - UT-San Antonio Roadrunners	29:16 ✺
18.11.23	Florida Atlantic Owls - Tulane Green Wave	8:24 ✺
11.11.23	Tulane Green Wave - Tulsa Golden Hurricane	24:22 ✺
04.11.23	East Carolina Pirates - Tulane Green Wave	10:13 ✺
28.10.23	Rice Owls - Tulane Green Wave	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Southern Methodist Mustangs football
NCAA College Football
25.11.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Navy Midshipmen	59:14 ✺
18.11.23	Memphis Tigers - Southern Methodist Mustangs	34:38 ✺
10.11.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Texas Mean Green	45:21 ✺
04.11.23	Rice Owls - Southern Methodist Mustangs	31:36 ✺
28.10.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Tulsa Golden Hurricane	69:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
17.11.22	Tulane Green Wave - Southern Methodist Mustangs	59:24
21.10.21	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Tulane Green Wave	55:26
16.10.20	Tulane Green Wave - Southern Methodist Mustangs	34:37 OT
30.11.19	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Tulane Green Wave	37:20
20.10.18	Tulane Green Wave - Southern Methodist Mustangs	23:27
25.11.17	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Tulane Green Wave	41:38
29.10.16	Tulane Green Wave - Southern Methodist Mustangs	31:35

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