Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	UCF Knights		Cincinnati Bearcats

	1	2
	1.67	2.25
	1.67	2.25
	1.66	2.2
	1.69	2.27
	1.67	2.19	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.67	2.25
	1.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.4)	2.23 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCF Knights
57.2%

Cincinnati Bearcats
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCF Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCF Knights's form might have worsened.

Cincinnati Bearcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati Bearcats's recent form is better than expected.

UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
06:24, Hawks N. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (3 - 7)
00:04, Sorsby B. (Touchdown),
00:04, Hawks N. (Extra Point),
13:08, Reddick G. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 3)
06:34, Hudson K. (Touchdown),
06:34, Reddick G. (Extra Point),
11:54, Hawks N. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (3 - 6)
08:24, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
12:01, Reddick G. (Field Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCF won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cincinnati could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

UCF will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches UCF won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 251:257 (average 27.9:28.6).

Including matches at home between the teams UCF won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 120:73 (average 30:18.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCF Knights football
NCAA College Football
05.10.24	Florida Gators - UCF Knights	24:13 ✺
28.09.24	UCF Knights - Colorado Buffaloes	21:48 ✺
14.09.24	TCU Horned Frogs - UCF Knights	34:35 ✺
07.09.24	UCF Knights - Sam Houston State Bearkats	45:14 ✺
29.08.24	UCF Knights - New Hampshire Wildcats	57:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- Cincinnati Bearcats football
NCAA College Football
28.09.24	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Cincinnati Bearcats	44:41 ✺
21.09.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - Houston Cougars	34:0 ✺
14.09.24	Miami OH RedHawks - Cincinnati Bearcats	16:27 ✺
07.09.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - Pittsburgh Panthers	27:28 ✺
31.08.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - Towson Tigers	38:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
04.11.23	Cincinnati Bearcats - UCF Knights	26:28
29.10.22	UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats	25:21
16.10.21	Cincinnati Bearcats - UCF Knights	56:21
21.11.20	UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats	33:36
04.10.19	Cincinnati Bearcats - UCF Knights	27:24
17.11.18	UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats	38:13
07.10.17	Cincinnati Bearcats - UCF Knights	23:51

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