Match Info

NCAA

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	UCF Knights		West Virginia Mountaineers

	1	2
	1.41	3
	1.38	2.93
	1.42	3.04
	1.37	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.3)	2.98 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCF Knights
68.1%

West Virginia Mountaineers
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCF Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

West Virginia Mountaineers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCF Knights than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Virginia Mountaineers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

UCF Knights - West Virginia Mountaineers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 0)
03:27, Domercant C. (Touchdown),
03:27, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
10:06, Domercant C. (Touchdown),
10:06, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
00:41, Wilkins K. (Touchdown),
00:41, Hensley K. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (21 - 0)
03:07, Nixon J. (Touchdown),
03:07, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
04:20, Wilkins K. (Touchdown),
04:20, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
12:48, Nixon J. (Touchdown),
12:48, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (10 - 6)
05:20, Ruelas N. (Field Goal),
10:43, Belfort D. (Touchdown),
10:43, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
13:14, Hubbard D. (Touchdown),

Preview

UCF has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

West Virginia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

West Virginia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, UCF is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UCF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:72. (average 24.5:36).

Including home match between the teams, UCF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:41.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCF Knights football
NCAA College Football
11.10.25	Cincinnati Bearcats - UCF Knights	20:11 ✺
04.10.25	UCF Knights - Kansas Jayhawks	20:27 ✺
27.09.25	Kansas State Wildcats - UCF Knights	34:20 ✺
20.09.25	UCF Knights - North Carolina Tar Heels	34:9 ✺
06.09.25	UCF Knights - North Carolina A&T Aggies	68:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- West Virginia Mountaineers football
NCAA College Football
03.10.25	Brigham Young Cougars - West Virginia Mountaineers	38:24 ✺
27.09.25	West Virginia Mountaineers - Utah Utes	14:48 ✺
20.09.25	Kansas Jayhawks - West Virginia Mountaineers	41:10 ✺
13.09.25	West Virginia Mountaineers - Pittsburgh Panthers	31:24 OT ✺
06.09.25	Ohio Bobcats - West Virginia Mountaineers	17:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
23.11.24	West Virginia Mountaineers - UCF Knights	31:21
28.10.23	UCF Knights - West Virginia Mountaineers	28:41

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