Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	USC Trojans		Michigan Wolverines

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.67	2.14
	1.67	2.31
	1.49	2.47	Watch
	1.67	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.78)	2.3 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USC Trojans
58.6%

Michigan Wolverines
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USC Trojans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USC Trojans's performance.

Michigan Wolverines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michigan Wolverines might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USC Trojans than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USC Trojans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michigan Wolverines could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

USC Trojans - Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. USC will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Michigan will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USC: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
06:03, Lane J. (Touchdown),
06:03, Sayeri R. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
11:51, McCulley D. (Touchdown),
11:51, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
14:46, Lemon M. (Touchdown),
14:46, Sayeri R. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
04:15, Miller K. (Touchdown),
04:15, Sayeri R. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (10 - 6)
04:59, Sayeri R. (Field Goal),
05:43, Marsh N. (Touchdown),
10:39, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
10:39, Sayeri R. (Extra Point),

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

USC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that USC will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, USC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Trojans football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - USC Trojans	34:32 ✺
20.09.25	USC Trojans - Michigan State Spartans	45:31 ✺
13.09.25	Purdue Boilermakers - USC Trojans	17:33 ✺
06.09.25	USC Trojans - Georgia Southern Eagles	59:20 ✺
30.08.25	USC Trojans - Missouri State Bears	73:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWW
- Michigan Wolverines football
NCAA College Football
04.10.25	Michigan Wolverines - Wisconsin Badgers	24:10 ✺
20.09.25	Nebraska Cornhuskers - Michigan Wolverines	27:30 ✺
13.09.25	Michigan Wolverines - Central Michigan Chippewas	63:3 ✺
06.09.25	Oklahoma Sooners - Michigan Wolverines	24:13 ✺
30.08.25	Michigan Wolverines - New Mexico Lobos	34:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
21.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - USC Trojans	27:24

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