Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	USC Trojans		Notre Dame Fighting Irish

	1	2
	3.4	1.33
	3.3	1.35
	3.3	1.35	Watch
	3.24	1.38
	3.14	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.4	1.33
	3.3	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.55)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USC Trojans
28.9%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USC Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USC Trojans's form might have worsened.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notre Dame Fighting Irish's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USC Trojans than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USC Trojans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notre Dame Fighting Irish, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

USC Trojans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Predictions

Users Predictions: Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
12:32, Love J. (Touchdown),
12:32, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 7)
02:53, Maiava J. (Touchdown),
02:53, Lantz M. (Extra Point),
14:01, Raridon E. (Touchdown),
14:01, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
14:36, Lane J. (Touchdown),
14:36, Lantz M. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 21)
02:22, Price J. (Touchdown),
02:22, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
05:54, Maiava J. (Touchdown),
05:54, Lantz M. (Extra Point),
08:33, Leonard R. (Touchdown),
08:33, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
13:49, Evans M. (Touchdown),
13:49, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 14)
06:17, Lane J. (Touchdown),
06:17, Lantz M. (Extra Point),
11:21, Gray C. (Touchdown),
11:21, (Extra Point),
13:42, Watts X. (Touchdown),
13:42, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
14:47, Lane J. (Touchdown),
14:47, Lantz M. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches USC won 1.

Recent matches USC is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Notre Dame in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Notre Dame is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Notre Dame to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 11 head-to-head matches USC won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 280:327 (average 25.5:29.7).

Including matches at home between the teams USC won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 162:114 (average 32.4:22.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Trojans football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	UCLA Bruins - USC Trojans	13:19 ✺
16.11.24	USC Trojans - Nebraska Cornhuskers	28:20 ✺
02.11.24	Washington Huskies - USC Trojans	26:21 ✺
25.10.24	USC Trojans - Rutgers Scarlet Knights	42:20 ✺
19.10.24	Maryland Terrapins - USC Trojans	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Army Black Knights	49:14 ✺
16.11.24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Virginia Cavaliers	35:14 ✺
09.11.24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Florida State Seminoles	52:3 ✺
26.10.24	Navy Midshipmen - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	14:51 ✺
19.10.24	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
14.10.23	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - USC Trojans	48:20
26.11.22	USC Trojans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	38:27
23.10.21	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - USC Trojans	31:16
12.10.19	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - USC Trojans	30:27
24.11.18	USC Trojans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	17:24
21.10.17	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - USC Trojans	49:14
26.11.16	USC Trojans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	45:27

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