Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	USC Trojans		Utah Utes

	1	2
	1.38	3.15
	1.4	3
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3.12
	1.4	3.12
	1.36	3
	1.35	3.22
	1.33	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.59)	3.08 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USC Trojans
69.2%

Utah Utes
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USC Trojans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USC Trojans's performance.

Utah Utes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utah Utes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USC Trojans than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USC Trojans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah Utes than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utah Utes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

USC Trojans - Utah Utes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches USC won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Utah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match USC is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's USC to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 12 head-to-head matches USC won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 358-350.

Including matches at home between the teams USC won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 169-166.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Trojans football
NCAA College Football
14.10.23	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - USC Trojans	48:20 ✺
07.10.23	USC Trojans - Arizona Wildcats	43:41 OT ✺
30.09.23	Colorado Buffaloes - USC Trojans	41:48 ✺
23.09.23	Arizona State Sun Devils - USC Trojans	28:42 ✺
09.09.23	USC Trojans - Stanford Cardinal	56:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWW
- Utah Utes football
NCAA College Football
14.10.23	Utah Utes - California Golden Bears	34:14 ✺
29.09.23	Oregon State Beavers - Utah Utes	21:7 ✺
23.09.23	Utah Utes - UCLA Bruins	14:7 ✺
16.09.23	Utah Utes - Weber State Wildcats	31:7 ✺
09.09.23	Baylor Bears - Utah Utes	13:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
02.12.22	USC Trojans - Utah Utes	24:47
15.10.22	Utah Utes - USC Trojans	43:42
09.10.21	USC Trojans - Utah Utes	26:42
21.11.20	Utah Utes - USC Trojans	17:33
20.09.19	USC Trojans - Utah Utes	30:23
20.10.18	Utah Utes - USC Trojans	41:28
14.10.17	USC Trojans - Utah Utes	28:27

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