Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 13 October 2023, Friday


	Utah State Aggies		Fresno State Bulldogs

	1	2
	2.85	1.44
	2.8	1.45
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.78	1.49
	2.75	1.4
	2.63	1.49
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.03)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah State Aggies
34.4%

Fresno State Bulldogs
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Fresno State Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fresno State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Utah State Aggies - Fresno State Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:31

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Preview

Recent matches Utah State is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fresno State is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fresno State will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Fresno State to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Utah State won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 164-128.

Including matches at home between the teams Utah State won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 54-55.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah State Aggies football
NCAA College Football
07.10.23	Utah State Aggies - Colorado State Rams	44:24 ✺
30.09.23	Connecticut Huskies - Utah State Aggies	33:34 ✺
23.09.23	Utah State Aggies - James Madison Dukes	38:45 ✺
15.09.23	Air Force Falcons - Utah State Aggies	39:21 ✺
09.09.23	Utah State Aggies - Idaho State Bengals	78:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Fresno State Bulldogs football
NCAA College Football
07.10.23	Wyoming Cowboys - Fresno State Bulldogs	24:19 ✺
30.09.23	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	27:9 ✺
23.09.23	Fresno State Bulldogs - Kent State Golden Flashes	53:10 ✺
16.09.23	Arizona State Sun Devils - Fresno State Bulldogs	0:29 ✺
09.09.23	Fresno State Bulldogs - Eastern Washington Eagles	34:31 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
14.11.20	Utah State Aggies - Fresno State Bulldogs	16:35
09.11.19	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	35:37
22.10.16	Utah State Aggies - Fresno State Bulldogs	38:20
10.10.15	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	14:56
07.12.13	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	24:17
NCAA College Basketball
04.02.12	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	N/A

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