Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Utah State Aggies		San Diego State Aztecs

	1	2
	1.5	2.65
	1.48	2.7
	1.48	2.7
	1.48	2.77
	1.47	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.5	2.65
	1.48	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	2.69 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah State Aggies
64.6%

San Diego State Aztecs
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

San Diego State Aztecs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Utah State Aggies - San Diego State Aztecs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
14:56, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (14 - 10)
07:11, Cooper M. (Touchdown),
07:11, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
11:40, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
13:03, Barnes B. (Touchdown),
13:03, Cragun T. (Extra Point),
14:44, Barnes B. (Touchdown),
14:44, Cragun T. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
03:56, Sterzer J. (Touchdown),
03:56, Cragun T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (20 - 7)
02:34, Page G. (Touchdown),
06:53, White K. (Touchdown),
06:53, Cragun T. (Extra Point),
11:52, Turner H. (Touchdown),
11:52, Cragun T. (Extra Point),
14:28, Shaw M. (Touchdown),
14:28, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Utah State won 3.

Recent matches Utah State is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Diego State is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Utah State could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Utah State will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Utah State won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 135:180 (average 22.5:30).

Including matches at home between the teams Utah State won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:78 (average 10:39).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah State Aggies football
NCAA College Football
16.11.24	Utah State Aggies - Hawaii Warriors	55:10 ✺
09.11.24	Washington State Cougars - Utah State Aggies	49:28 ✺
26.10.24	Wyoming Cowboys - Utah State Aggies	25:27 ✺
19.10.24	Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos	45:50 ✺
11.10.24	Utah State Aggies - UNLV Rebels	34:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL
- San Diego State Aztecs football
NCAA College Football
16.11.24	UNLV Rebels - San Diego State Aztecs	41:20 ✺
08.11.24	San Diego State Aztecs - New Mexico Lobos	16:21 ✺
01.11.24	Boise State Broncos - San Diego State Aztecs	56:24 ✺
26.10.24	San Diego State Aztecs - Washington State Cougars	26:29 ✺
12.10.24	Wyoming Cowboys - San Diego State Aztecs	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
04.11.23	San Diego State Aztecs - Utah State Aggies	24:32 OT
04.12.21	San Diego State Aztecs - Utah State Aggies	13:46
31.10.20	Utah State Aggies - San Diego State Aztecs	7:38
21.09.19	San Diego State Aztecs - Utah State Aggies	17:23
28.10.16	Utah State Aggies - San Diego State Aztecs	13:40
23.10.15	San Diego State Aztecs - Utah State Aggies	48:14

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