The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virginia Cavaliers 55.3%
Duke Blue Devils 44.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.5%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virginia Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virginia Cavaliers's form might have worsened.
Duke Blue Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duke Blue Devils's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virginia Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Virginia Cavaliers - Duke Blue Devils Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5, OT - Virginia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Virginia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 7)
04:01, Sheppard N. (Touchdown),
04:01, Strange G. (Extra Point),
11:55, Middlebrook J. (Touchdown),
11:55, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (6 - 0)
05:54, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
14:59, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
02:38, Strange G. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (3 - 9)
06:10, Strange G. (Field Goal),
12:00, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
13:46, Keefe B. (Touchdown),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virginia won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Virginia has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 419:329 (averaging 29.9:23.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Virginia against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 276:178 goals (averaging 34.5:22.3 per game).
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