Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Virginia Cavaliers		North Carolina Tar Heels

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.6	2.4
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.64	2.38
	1.61	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.61	2.4
	1.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virginia Cavaliers
59.3%

North Carolina Tar Heels
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virginia Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

North Carolina Tar Heels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virginia Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Virginia Cavaliers - North Carolina Tar Heels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 7)
06:24, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
09:37, Jones J. (Touchdown),
09:37, Burnette N. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 17)
07:09, Burnette N. (Field Goal),
10:58, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
13:28, Hampton O. (Touchdown),
13:28, Burnette N. (Extra Point),
14:55, Jones J. (Touchdown),
14:55, Burnette N. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 14)
02:53, Hampton O. (Touchdown),
02:53, Burnette N. (Extra Point),
14:43, Ritzie J. (Touchdown),
14:43, Burnette N. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (8 - 3)
04:53, Wilson J. (Touchdown),
04:53, Twitty D. (Two-Point Conversion),
09:55, Burnette N. (Field Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virginia won 3.

Recent matches Virginia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

North Carolina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

North Carolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently North Carolina have a series of home games.

Virginia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Virginia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 312:395 (average 24:30.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Virginia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 157:193 (average 26.2:32.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virginia Cavaliers football
NCAA College Football
19.10.24	Clemson Tigers - Virginia Cavaliers	48:31 ✺
12.10.24	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	20:24 ✺
05.10.24	Virginia Cavaliers - Boston College Eagles	24:14 ✺
21.09.24	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - Virginia Cavaliers	24:43 ✺
14.09.24	Virginia Cavaliers - Maryland Terrapins	13:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL
- North Carolina Tar Heels football
NCAA College Football
12.10.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	34:41 ✺
05.10.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - Pittsburgh Panthers	24:34 ✺
28.09.24	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels	21:20 ✺
21.09.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - James Madison Dukes	50:70 ✺
14.09.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - North Carolina Central Eagles	45:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
21.10.23	North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Cavaliers	27:31
05.11.22	Virginia Cavaliers - North Carolina Tar Heels	28:31
18.09.21	North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Cavaliers	59:39
31.10.20	Virginia Cavaliers - North Carolina Tar Heels	44:41
02.11.19	North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Cavaliers	31:38
27.10.18	Virginia Cavaliers - North Carolina Tar Heels	31:21
14.10.17	North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Cavaliers	14:20

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