Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday


	Adelaide Crows		Collingwood Magpies

	1	2
	1.28	3.6
	1.27	3.45
	1.3	3.59
	1.25	3.75
	1.27	3.68	Watch
	1.32	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	3.56 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
73.5%

Collingwood Magpies
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Crows's performance.

Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Collingwood Magpies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Crows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collingwood Magpies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:22

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Collingwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Adelaide is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 184-160.

Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 61-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
04.11.22	Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows	48:27 ✺
29.10.22	St Kilda Saints - Adelaide Crows	13:29 ✺
21.10.22	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	30:28 ✺
14.10.22	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	53:31 ✺
08.10.22	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	49:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW
- Collingwood Magpies Women
AFL Women
06.11.22	Collingwood Magpies - Western Bulldogs	40:35 ✺
28.10.22	Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies	55:10 ✺
21.10.22	Collingwood Magpies - North Melbourne Kangaroos	25:57 ✺
16.10.22	Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies	3:32 ✺
09.10.22	Collingwood Magpies - Greater Western Sydney Giants	46:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
17.09.22	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	16:21
05.03.22	Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies	30:28
27.03.21	Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies	31:17
17.03.18	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	53:32
18.03.17	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	46:70

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	✺
- Collingwood Magpies Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	Port Adelaide Power - Collingwood Magpies	✺

Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide