Match Info

AFL Women - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Unley Oval (Unley)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports MORE
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3


	Adelaide Crows		Geelong Cats

	1	X	2
	1.65		2.25
	1.62	75.00	2.20
	1.57		2.25
	1.6		2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	18.75 ↓ (50)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 102.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-36)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
55.5%

Draw
4.8%

Geelong Cats
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.2%

1.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:33

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
2nd Quarter (2 - 21)
3rd Quarter (15 - 26)
4th Quarter (22 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 5.

Adelaide will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 315:165. (average 52.5:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 234:99. (average 58.5:24.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
2	Geelong Cats W	10	9	0	1	719:430	167.21	36
9	Adelaide Crows W	10	5	0	5	470:459	102.40	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
05.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows	39:67 ✺
29.08.26	Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles	60:43 ✺
23.08.26	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	50:23 ✺
15.08.26	Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans	53:61 ✺
14.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows	60:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL
- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
06.09.26	Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers	83:51 ✺
30.08.26	Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats	57:64 ✺
22.08.26	Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints	100:15 ✺
14.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	100:27 ✺
01.11.25	Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons	45:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
24.08.25	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	65:27
01.11.24	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	28:32
21.10.22	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	30:28
23.02.20	Geelong Cats - Adelaide Crows	38:49
23.03.19	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	73:7
16.02.19	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	66:37

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