Match Info
VFL - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 11 September 2026, FridayLocation: Box Hill City Oval (Box Hill)
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 |
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Box Hill Hawks |
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Essendon Bombers 2 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.65 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.69 |
|
2.1 |
|
 |
1.7 |
|
2.12 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.75) |
↓
|
2.09 ↑
(1.95) |
|
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Box Hill Hawks
55.4% | Essendon Bombers 2
44.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Box Hill Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Essendon Bombers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (33 - 37)
- 2nd Quarter (29 - 20)
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 17)
- 4th Quarter (12 - 14)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Box Hill won 5.Box Hill is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Box Hill may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Box Hill will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Box Hill won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 910:592. (average 101.1:65.8).Including home matches between the teams, Box Hill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 185:130. (average 92.5:65).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VFL | | | 12.07.25 | Box Hill Hawks - Essendon Bombers 2 | 134:65 | | 01.06.24 | Essendon Bombers 2 - Box Hill Hawks | 40:112 | | 27.05.23 | Essendon Bombers 2 - Box Hill Hawks | 58:105 | | 08.05.22 | Essendon Bombers 2 - Box Hill Hawks | 62:156 | | 19.06.21 | Essendon Bombers 2 - Box Hill Hawks | 51:102 | | 15.06.19 | Essendon Bombers 2 - Box Hill Hawks | 71:61 | | 24.06.18 | Box Hill Hawks - Essendon Bombers 2 | 51:65 |
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