Match Info

VFL - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Barry Plant Park (Coburg)


	Coburg		Frankston

	1	2
	1.95	1.8
	2	1.8
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Coburg
47.8%

Frankston
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Frankston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frankston than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frankston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Coburg - Frankston Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Coburg will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Frankston will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (21 - 2)
2nd Quarter (7 - 52)
3rd Quarter (22 - 17)
4th Quarter (14 - 20)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coburg won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Frankston has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Frankston will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Coburg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 930:891. (average 77.5:74.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Coburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 494:372. (average 82.3:62).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coburg FC
VFL
21.06.25	Port Melbourne - Coburg	67:77 ✺
14.06.25	Coburg - Box Hill Hawks	50:88 ✺
06.06.25	Coburg - Footscray	67:111 ✺
30.05.25	Gold Coast Suns 2 - Coburg	47:135 ✺
17.05.25	Coburg - Northern Bullants	99:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW
- Frankston FC
VFL
21.06.25	Frankston - Essendon Bombers 2	66:60 ✺
13.06.25	Frankston - Footscray	85:102 ✺
07.06.25	Box Hill Hawks - Frankston	135:72 ✺
31.05.25	Frankston - Sandringham	100:64 ✺
10.05.25	Frankston - Coburg	85:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VFL
10.05.25	Frankston - Coburg	85:84
27.07.24	Coburg - Frankston	41:69
26.04.24	Frankston - Coburg	76:59
04.06.22	Coburg - Frankston	73:50
16.04.21	Frankston - Coburg	126:96
30.06.19	Frankston - Coburg	56:62
21.04.19	Coburg - Frankston	138:63

Coburg - Frankston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide