Match Info

VFL - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: North Port Oval (Port Melbourne)


	Port Melbourne		Carlton Blues 2

	1	2
	2	1.73
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.1)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Melbourne
46.9%

Carlton Blues 2
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Carlton Blues 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues 2 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlton Blues 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Port Melbourne - Carlton Blues 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Points, OT - Port Melbourne (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Points - Port Melbourne (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Melbourne (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (23 - 11)
2nd Quarter (22 - 38)
3rd Quarter (24 - 25)
4th Quarter (14 - 20)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Carlton Blues 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 253:306. (average 84.3:102).

Including home match between the teams, Port Melbourne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Melbourne FC
VFL
21.06.25	Port Melbourne - Coburg	67:77 ✺
14.06.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos 2 - Port Melbourne	73:96 ✺
01.06.25	Port Melbourne - Werribee	41:49 ✺
24.05.25	Greater Western Sydney 2 - Port Melbourne	84:110 ✺
17.05.25	Port Melbourne - Geelong Cats 2	51:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWW
- Carlton Blues 2
VFL
21.06.25	Carlton Blues 2 - North Melbourne Kangaroos 2	73:74 ✺
15.06.25	Northern Bullants - Carlton Blues 2	36:122 ✺
08.06.25	Essendon Bombers 2 - Carlton Blues 2	54:72 ✺
24.05.25	Carlton Blues 2 - Williamstown	79:117 ✺
16.05.25	Sydney Swans 2 - Carlton Blues 2	75:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VFL
21.04.24	Carlton Blues 2 - Port Melbourne	111:91
21.07.23	Carlton Blues 2 - Port Melbourne	105:69
09.07.22	Port Melbourne - Carlton Blues 2	93:90

Port Melbourne - Carlton Blues 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide