Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL Women

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: RSEA Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy, Seven Network
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	St Kilda Saints		Melbourne Demons

	1	2
	1.75	1.94
	1.77	1.98
	1.73	2
	1.8	2
	1.75	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	1.97 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Kilda Saints
52.8%

Melbourne Demons
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Kilda Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Demons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:30

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 12)
2nd Quarter (12 - 14)
3rd Quarter (12 - 8)
4th Quarter (6 - 10)

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches St Kilda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 84:190 (average 21:47.5).

Including matches at home between the teams St Kilda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39:60 (average 19.5:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
08.10.24	St Kilda Saints - Greater Western Sydney Giants	49:15 ✺
04.10.24	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	26:22 ✺
27.09.24	St Kilda Saints - Fremantle Dockers	14:25 ✺
21.09.24	St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks	17:74 ✺
15.09.24	Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints	15:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
09.10.24	Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons	14:16 ✺
03.10.24	Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants	41:25 ✺
27.09.24	Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons	72:7 ✺
21.09.24	Fremantle Dockers - Melbourne Demons	47:41 ✺
14.09.24	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	21:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
11.09.22	St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons	20:46
21.01.22	Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints	64:23
06.03.21	Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints	66:22
21.02.20	St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons	19:14

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺
- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons	✺

St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide