Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Arctic Open - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Energia Areena (Vantaa)


	Arnaud Merkle		Kenta Nishimoto

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.21
	3.91	1.19	Watch
	3.81	1.23
	3.75	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.1)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnaud Merkle
23.9%

Kenta Nishimoto
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnaud Merkle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arnaud Merkle's form might have worsened.

Kenta Nishimoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kenta Nishimoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnaud Merkle than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenta Nishimoto than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arnaud Merkle - Kenta Nishimoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nishimoto will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Merkle is ranked BWF: 45. Nishimoto is ranked BWF: 13.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Merkle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nishimoto is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merkle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnaud Merkle
Badminton
08.10.25	Arnaud Merkle - Joakim Oldorff	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Bismo Raya Oktora - Arnaud Merkle	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Arnaud Merkle - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Arnaud Merkle - Ping-Hsien Huang	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Xin Yu Zhou - Arnaud Merkle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Kenta Nishimoto
Badminton
08.10.25	Ka Long Angus Ng - Kenta Nishimoto	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Kenta Nishimoto - Jonatan Christie	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Anthony Sinisuka Ginting - Kenta Nishimoto	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Hyeok Jin Jeon - Kenta Nishimoto	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Guangzu Lu - Kenta Nishimoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
30.03.23	Kenta Nishimoto - Arnaud Merkle	Nishimoto K. walkover

Arnaud Merkle - Kenta Nishimoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide