Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: China Masters 3 - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen)


	Guangzu Lu		Koki Watanabe

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzu Lu
50%

Koki Watanabe
50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Guangzu Lu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Koki Watanabe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzu Lu than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzu Lu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koki Watanabe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Lu is ranked BWF: 14. Watanabe is ranked BWF: 19.

In recent matches, Lu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Watanabe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Guangzu Lu - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzu Lu
Badminton
10.09.25	Guangzu Lu - H. S. Prannoy	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Guangzu Lu - Ayush Shetty	Canceled ✺
27.08.25	Guangzu Lu - Victor Lai	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Guangzu Lu - Jia Heng Jason Teh	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Chia Hao Lee - Guangzu Lu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 L?LWL
- Koki Watanabe
Badminton
11.09.25	Koki Watanabe - Shi Feng Li	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Ka Long Angus Ng - Koki Watanabe	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Koki Watanabe - Ade Resky Dwicahyo	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	H. S. Prannoy - Koki Watanabe	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
18.10.24	Guangzu Lu - Koki Watanabe	Lu G. Z. retired
10.10.24	Guangzu Lu - Koki Watanabe	0:2
16.05.24	Koki Watanabe - Guangzu Lu	1:2
10.01.19	Guangzu Lu - Koki Watanabe	2:0

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