Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Australian Open - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Quaycentre (Sydney)


	Kenta Nishimoto		Rasmus Gemke

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.75	1.91	Watch
	1.45	2.59
	1.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	2.43 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenta Nishimoto
61.7%

Rasmus Gemke
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenta Nishimoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Rasmus Gemke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenta Nishimoto than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kenta Nishimoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rasmus Gemke than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rasmus Gemke, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nishimoto will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nishimoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Nishimoto is ranked BWF: 13. Gemke is ranked BWF: 29.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nishimoto won 2.

Nishimoto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gemke has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gemke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nishimoto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nishimoto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenta Nishimoto
Badminton
18.11.25	Kenta Nishimoto - Kiran George	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Kodai Naraoka - Kenta Nishimoto	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Lakshya Sen - Kenta Nishimoto	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Kenta Nishimoto - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Jing Hong Kok - Kenta Nishimoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- Rasmus Gemke
Badminton
19.11.25	Rasmus Gemke - Koki Watanabe	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Tzu Wei Wang - Rasmus Gemke	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Rasmus Gemke - H. S. Prannoy	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Chia Hao Lee - Rasmus Gemke	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Alwi Farhan - Rasmus Gemke	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
20.11.24	Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke	1:2
17.10.24	Rasmus Gemke - Kenta Nishimoto	1:2
21.03.24	Rasmus Gemke - Kenta Nishimoto	2:1
15.09.23	Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke	Gemke R. retired
18.10.22	Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke	0:2
26.11.21	Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke	0:2
17.03.21	Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke	0:2

Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide