Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Australian Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Rasmus Gemke		Koki Watanabe

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.48	1.45
	2.63	1.44
	2.57	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.73)	1.44 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rasmus Gemke
35.8%

Koki Watanabe
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rasmus Gemke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rasmus Gemke's form might have worsened.

Koki Watanabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koki Watanabe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rasmus Gemke than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rasmus Gemke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koki Watanabe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rasmus Gemke - Koki Watanabe Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Watanabe will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Watanabe (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Watanabe (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Gemke is ranked BWF: 30. Watanabe is ranked BWF: 26.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Watanabe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gemke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rasmus Gemke
Badminton
14.11.25	Tzu Wei Wang - Rasmus Gemke	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Rasmus Gemke - H. S. Prannoy	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Chia Hao Lee - Rasmus Gemke	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Alwi Farhan - Rasmus Gemke	Canceled ✺
30.10.25	Rasmus Gemke - Alex Lanier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWW?L
- Koki Watanabe
Badminton
12.11.25	Koki Watanabe - Lakshya Sen	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Koki Watanabe - Shi Feng Li	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Koki Watanabe - Jonatan Christie	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Koki Watanabe - Ayush Shetty	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
23.03.22	Koki Watanabe - Rasmus Gemke	Canceled

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