Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - WOMEN: Hong Kong Open - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Hong Kong Coliseum (Hongkong)


	Michelle Li		Beiwen Zhang

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.02	1.68
	6.46	1.07	Watch
	2.19	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (1.91)	1.54 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michelle Li
34.1%

Beiwen Zhang
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michelle Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michelle Li's form might have worsened.

Beiwen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beiwen Zhang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michelle Li than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michelle Li, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beiwen Zhang than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beiwen Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Li is ranked BWF: 16. Zhang is ranked BWF: 25.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Li won 2.

Li is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zhang has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Li won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michelle Li
Badminton
11.09.25	Pornpawee Chochuwong - Michelle Li	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Michelle Li - Manami Suizu	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Se Young An - Michelle Li	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Michelle Li - Ozge Bayrak	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Michelle Li - Natsuki Nidaira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWW
- Beiwen Zhang
Badminton
11.09.25	Line Christophersen - Beiwen Zhang	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Polina Buhrova - Beiwen Zhang	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Beiwen Zhang - Yue Han	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Beiwen Zhang - Yasmine Hamza	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Beiwen Zhang - Riko Gunji	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
05.03.25	Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang	0:2
22.08.24	Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang	Li M. retired
12.11.19	Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang	0:2
26.09.19	Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang	2:1
15.10.17	Beiwen Zhang - Michelle Li	2:0
09.07.16	Beiwen Zhang - Michelle Li	0:2
03.07.16	Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang	Li M. walkover

Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide