Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - WOMEN: Victor China Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Changzhou Olympic Sports Centre (Changzhou)


	Ratchanok Intanon		Michelle Li

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.44	2.51	Watch
	1.47	2.53	Watch
	1.47	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	2.47 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 79.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratchanok Intanon
62.6%

Michelle Li
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratchanok Intanon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Michelle Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchanok Intanon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michelle Li than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Preview

Intanon is ranked BWF: 7. Li is ranked BWF: 13.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Intanon won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Intanon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Intanon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Intanon won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratchanok Intanon
Badminton
13.07.26	Ratchanok Intanon - Yu Jin Sim	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Pin-Chian Chiu - Ratchanok Intanon	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Ratchanok Intanon - Akane Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Natsuki Nidaira - Ratchanok Intanon	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Kirsty Gilmour - Ratchanok Intanon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- Michelle Li
Badminton
15.07.26	Yu Jin Sim - Michelle Li	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Busanan Ongbamrungphan - Michelle Li	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Michelle Li - Riko Gunji	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Michelle Li - Ching Ping Huang	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Michelle Li - Juliana Viana Viera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
15.10.25	Michelle Li - Ratchanok Intanon	2:1
22.05.25	Ratchanok Intanon - Michelle Li	2:1
15.05.23	Ratchanok Intanon - Michelle Li	2:1
24.08.22	Michelle Li - Ratchanok Intanon	2:1
16.03.22	Ratchanok Intanon - Michelle Li	Canceled
17.01.20	Michelle Li - Ratchanok Intanon	0:2
14.12.18	Ratchanok Intanon - Michelle Li	2:0

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