Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Australian Open - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Quaycentre (Sydney)


	Yuji Tanaka		Chun Yi Lin

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.36
	2.20	1.57	Watch
	2.9	1.37
	2.71	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.92)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuji Tanaka
34.6%

Chun Yi Lin
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuji Tanaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Chun Yi Lin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuji Tanaka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chun Yi Lin than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Yuji Tanaka - Chun Yi Lin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lin (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Tanaka is ranked BWF: 26. Lin is ranked BWF: 12.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Lin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lin is considered a favorite.

We predict that Lin will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tanaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuji Tanaka
Badminton
21.11.25	Yuji Tanaka - Rasmus Gemke	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Yuji Tanaka - Sholeh Aidil	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Jonatan Christie - Yuji Tanaka	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Kodai Naraoka - Yuji Tanaka	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Yu Jen Chi - Yuji Tanaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWLW
- Chun Yi Lin
Badminton
21.11.25	Chun Yi Lin - Shogo Ogawa	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Chun Yi Lin - Tharun Mannepalli	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Chun Yi Lin - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Chun Yi Lin - Kidambi Srikanth	Canceled ✺
14.11.25	Kodai Naraoka - Chun Yi Lin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
28.08.24	Yuji Tanaka - Chun Yi Lin	1:2
01.10.23	Chun Yi Lin - Yuji Tanaka	2:1
13.07.23	Chun Yi Lin - Yuji Tanaka	2:0

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