Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Australian Open - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Quaycentre (Sydney)


	Yuji Tanaka		Rasmus Gemke

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.8
	1.34	2.87	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.84)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuji Tanaka
53.9%

Rasmus Gemke
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuji Tanaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Rasmus Gemke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuji Tanaka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rasmus Gemke than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Preview

Tanaka is ranked BWF: 26. Gemke is ranked BWF: 29.

In recent matches, Tanaka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gemke is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gemke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Yuji Tanaka - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Rasmus Gemke - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuji Tanaka
Badminton
20.11.25	Yuji Tanaka - Sholeh Aidil	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Jonatan Christie - Yuji Tanaka	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Kodai Naraoka - Yuji Tanaka	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Yu Jen Chi - Yuji Tanaka	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Yuji Tanaka - Brian Yang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLWL
- Rasmus Gemke
Badminton
20.11.25	Kenta Nishimoto - Rasmus Gemke	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Rasmus Gemke - Koki Watanabe	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Tzu Wei Wang - Rasmus Gemke	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Rasmus Gemke - H. S. Prannoy	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Chia Hao Lee - Rasmus Gemke	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

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