The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bravos de Margarita 54.4%
Tiburones de La Guaira 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bravos de Margarita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Tiburones de La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bravos de Margarita than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiburones de La Guaira than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
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Lineups
Batters
15. Valera B.
12. Querecuto J.
4. Santana J.
1. Barreto F.
2. Amarista A.
2. Escobar A.
10. Garcia W.
41. Montano D.
36. Perez C.
6. Arias G.
31. Flores R.
26. Solarte Y.
56. Gomez M.
36. Castellanos P.
29. Olivares E.
16. Tocci C.
22. Martinez J.
20. Rivero S.
Pitchers
44. Saldana A.
73. Macuare A.
Coaches
. Blanco H.
. Petit G.
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Qualification ~ Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bravos de Margarita won 3.
Bravos de Margarita is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Tiburones has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bravos de Margarita won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 119:109. (average 6:5.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bravos de Margarita won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 81:58. (average 7.4:5.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Tiburones de La Guaira - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.04%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.