The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hanshin Tigers 60.5%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hanshin Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanshin Tigers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Hanshin Tigers - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2
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Lineups
Batters
5. Chikamoto K.
94. Sato K.
7. Nakano T.
33. Kikuchi R.
1. Morishita S.
96. Nakamura S.
8. Sato T.
31. Sakakura S.
3. Ohyama Y.
10. Sasaki T.
9. Tateishi M.
57. Mochimaru T.
4. Kumagai T.
52. Suekane S.
12. Sakamoto S.
0. Katsuda N.
Pitchers
41. Murakami S.
20. Kuribayashi R.
Coaches
. Fujikawa K.
. Arai T.
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ NPB PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hanshin won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Hanshin has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Hiroshima has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hanshin holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hanshin has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:44 (averaging 2.8:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hanshin against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 21:20 goals (averaging 1.9:1.8 per game).
Outrights of NPB for now
Hanshin Tigers: 18.98% Hiroshima Carp: 2.08%
Last Results with these Odds
Hiroshima Toyo Carp - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.