Match Info
NPBDate: 13 September 2026, SundayLocation: Meiji Jingu Stadium (Tokyo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Japan | SKY PerfecTV! |
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows |
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.74 |
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1.95 |
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1.87 |
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1.90 |
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1.83 |
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1.95 |
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1.82 |
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2.09 |
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 Watch |
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1.80 |
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2.05 |
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1.81 |
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2.06 |
Watch |
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1.80 |
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2.02 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.86) |
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2 ↑
(1.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
52.5% | Hiroshima Toyo Carp
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Yakult Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:1 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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1.  Nagaoka H.
| 1. Nabara N.
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2. Akabane Y.
| 2. Sato K.
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3.  Santana D.
| 3. Nakamura S.
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4.  Osuna J.
| 4. Kikuchi R.
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5. Masuda S.
| 5. Sasaki T.
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6. Ito R.
| 6. Ohmori M.
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7. Matsumoto N.
| 7. Ishihara T.
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8. Iwata Y.
| 8. Katsuda N.
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| Pitchers |
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47. Takahashi K.
| 16. Mori S.
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| Coaches |
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. Ikeyama T.
| . Arai T.
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Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 6)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.Tokyo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Hiroshima has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Tokyo has had a series of away games.Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 71:42. (average 3.6:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 4.8:2.5).
Outrights of NPB for now
Yakult Swallows: 4.95% Hiroshima Carp: 2.08%
Last Results with these Odds
Tokyo Yakult Swallows - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NPB | | | 30.08.26 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 5:1 | | 29.08.26 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 1:9 | | 28.08.26 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 1:3 | | 12.08.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 12:0 | | 26.07.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 3:4 | | 25.07.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 2:1 | | 24.07.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 5:3 |
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