Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Sportsnet+
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus, Oneplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports MAX 10
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Italy	Sky Sport Max
Japan	Netflix
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Sports Plus
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1


	Italy		Puerto Rico

	1	2
	1.83	2
	1.88	1.95
	1.9	1.95
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.93	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)	1.95 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
51.1%

Puerto Rico
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Italy's performance.

Puerto Rico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puerto Rico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Italy - Puerto Rico Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Puerto Rico will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Puerto Rico (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
92. Antonacci S.	3. Castro W.
25. Saggese T.	23. Hernaiz D.
87. Marsee J.	28. Arenado N.
9. Pasquantino V.	14. Cortes C.
8. Canzone D.	26. Rivera E.
14. Caglianone J.	22. Ramos H.
11. Fischer A.	17. Rosario E.
28. D'Orazio J.	6. Lugo M.
84. Nori D.	15. Maldonado M.
Pitchers
66. Aldegheri S.	67. Lugo S.
Coaches
. Cervelli F.	. Molina Y.

Preview

Puerto Rico is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Puerto Rico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 2.3:6.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy baseball
World Baseball Classic
11.03.26	Mexico - Italy	1:9 ✺
10.03.26	USA - Italy	6:8 ✺
08.03.26	Italy - Great Britain	7:4 ✺
07.03.26	Italy - Brazil	8:0 ✺
European Championship Baseball
27.09.25	Netherlands - Italy	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WWWWL
- Puerto Rico baseball
World Baseball Classic
10.03.26	Puerto Rico - Canada	2:3 ✺
09.03.26	Puerto Rico - Cuba	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Puerto Rico - Panama	4:3 ✺
06.03.26	Colombia - Puerto Rico	0:5 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Puerto Rico	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Baseball Classic
12.03.17	Puerto Rico - Italy	9:3
WBSC Premier 12
09.11.15	Puerto Rico - Italy	7:1
World Baseball Classic
13.03.13	Italy - Puerto Rico	3:4

Italy - Puerto Rico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide