Match Info

MLB

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
World	MLB.TV


	Miami Marlins		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
	2.40	1.54	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.40	1.58
	2.50	1.63
			Watch
	2.45	1.59
	2.48	1.62	Watch
	2.43	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.41)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Marlins
39.3%

Philadelphia Phillies
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
6. Lopez O.	7. Turner T.
13. Hernandez H.	5. Stott B.
34. Hicks L.	3. Harper B.
9. Edwards X.	28. Bohm A.
8. Sanoja J.	10. Realmuto J.T.
28. Stowers K.	16. Marsh B.
3. Ruiz E.	41. De La Cruz B.
64. Navarreto B.	2. Crawford J.
87. Marsee J.	33. Sosa E.
Pitchers
67. Gusto R.	44. Luzardo J.
Coaches
. McCullough C.	. Mattingly D.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.

Miami has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Philadelphia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.

Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 71:95. (average 3.6:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:59. (average 3.6:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Marlins - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 40.18%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Marlins
MLB
28.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	8:7 ✺
26.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	3:5 ✺
25.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:7 ✺
24.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLL
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
28.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	8:7 ✺
26.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees	11:4 ✺
25.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
28.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	1:0
27.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	8:7
17.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins	4:12
16.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins	8:2
15.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins	7:0
04.05.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	0:1
03.05.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	2:7

Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide