Match Info
MLBDate: 4 May 2026, MondayLocation: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Miami Marlins |
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Philadelphia Phillies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.87 |
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1.95 |
 Watch |
 |
1.9 |
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1.9 |
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 |
1.96 |
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2 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.91 |
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1.91 |
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 |
1.93 |
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1.99 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.02) |
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1.95 ↑
(1.83) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Miami Marlins
50.5% | Philadelphia Phillies
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 53.8% – 96.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Marlins will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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87.  Marsee J.
| 7.  Turner T.
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28. Stowers K.
| 12. Schwarber K.
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6.  Lopez O.
| 3. Harper B.
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9. Edwards X.
| 53.  Garcia A.
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34. Hicks L.
| 16. Marsh B.
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5.  Morel C.
| 5. Stott B.
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80. Mack J.
| 28. Bohm A.
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17. Caissie O.
| 21.  Stubbs G.
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21. Pauley G.
| 2. Crawford J.
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| Pitchers |
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26. Junk J.
| 27. Nola A.
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| Coaches |
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. McCullough C.
| . Thomson R.
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Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 12)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.Miami has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Philadelphia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 88:113. (average 4.4:5.7).Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:73. (average 4.4:5.2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 03.05.26 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 2:7 | | 02.05.26 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 5:6 | | 01.05.26 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 5:6 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 24.02.26 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 6:1 | | MLB | | | 25.09.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins | 1:0 | | 24.09.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins | 11:1 | | 23.09.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins | 5:6 |
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Upcoming Matches
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