Match Info

MLB

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Miami Marlins		San Diego Padres

	1	2
	1.76	2.01	Watch
	1.83	2.00
	1.80	2.04
	1.87	2.08
			Watch
	1.83	2.05
	1.83	2.12	Watch
	1.80	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Marlins
53%

San Diego Padres
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres Predictions

Users Predictions: San Diego Padres will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Batters
6. Lopez O.	23. Tatis F. Jr.
28. Stowers K.	9. Cronenworth J.
13. Hernandez H.	13. Machado M.
9. Edwards X.	25. France T.
34. Hicks L.	3. Merrill J.
18. Conine G.	21. Rengifo L.
3. Ruiz E.	30. Sheets G.
21. Pauley G.	12. Campusano L.
80. Mack J.	24. Song Sung-Mun
Pitchers
26. Junk J.	10. Buehler W.
Coaches
. McCullough C.	. Stammen C.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.

Miami has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, San Diego has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 70:96. (average 3.5:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:59. (average 3.3:5.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Marlins - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 53.17%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Marlins
MLB
25.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:7 ✺
24.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:4 ✺
22.07.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	5:2 ✺
21.07.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	5:3 ✺
20.07.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	8:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- San Diego Padres
MLB
25.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:7 ✺
24.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:4 ✺
23.07.26	Atlanta Braves - San Diego Padres	6:5 ✺
22.07.26	Atlanta Braves - San Diego Padres	7:6 ✺
21.07.26	Atlanta Braves - San Diego Padres	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
25.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:7
24.07.26	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	2:4
23.07.25	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	3:2
22.07.25	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	4:3
21.07.25	Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres	1:2
28.05.25	San Diego Padres - Miami Marlins	8:10
27.05.25	San Diego Padres - Miami Marlins	8:6

Miami Marlins - San Diego Padres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide