The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies 65.2%
New York Yankees 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Phillies's performance.
New York Yankees has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Yankees might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Phillies that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Yankees could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
0%
42.9%
Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). NY Yankees will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 31.2% – 83%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
7. Turner T.
48. Goldschmidt P.
12. Schwarber K.
22. Rice B.
3. Harper B.
14. Rosario A.
16. Marsh B.
24. Dominguez J.
28. Bohm A.
11. Volpe A.
5. Stott B.
12. Grisham T.
10. Realmuto J.T.
30. Schuemann M.
17. Rincones G.
72. Caballero J.
2. Crawford J.
39. Sanchez A.
Pitchers
61. Sanchez C.
29. Warren W.
Coaches
. Mattingly D.
. Boone A.
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.
Philadelphia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NY Yankees is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 89:114. (average 4.5:5.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:59. (average 3.4:6.6).
Last Results with these Odds
New York Yankees - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Turner T. 
Rosario A. 
Rincones G. 
Caballero J. 
Sanchez A. 
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