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Current Win Probability
San Diego Padres 62.8%
Colorado Rockies 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Diego Padres's performance.
Colorado Rockies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colorado Rockies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Diego Padres that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rockies than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Rockies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
San Diego Padres - Colorado Rockies Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Lineups
Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.
31. McCarthy J.
9. Cronenworth J.
16. Carrigg C.
13. Machado M.
15. Goodman H.
25. France T.
7. Rumfield T.
3. Merrill J.
3. Castro W.
21. Rengifo L.
2. Freeman T.
30. Sheets G.
22. Moniak M.
2. Bogaerts X.
14. Tovar E.
54. Fermin F.
26. Sullivan B.
Pitchers
68. Hart K.
43. Hughes G.
Coaches
. Stammen C.
. Schaeffer W.
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 131:74. (average 6.6:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 60:25. (average 6:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Rockies - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 43.6%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Canada
World
Watch
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Tatis F. Jr. 
McCarthy J. 
Carrigg C. 
Castro W. 
Rengifo L. 
Bogaerts X. 
Sullivan B. 
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