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Current Win Probability
Colorado Rockies 43.1%
Washington Nationals 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Rockies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rockies than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colorado Rockies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Nationals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
0%
73.3%
Colorado Rockies - Washington Nationals Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Washington will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:7
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Lineups
Batters
31. McCarthy J.
29. Wood J.
22. Moniak M.
2. Garcia L.
15. Goodman H.
8. Tena J.
7. Rumfield T.
5. Abrams C.
16. Carrigg C.
3. Crews D.
12. Karros K.
4. Lile D.
3. Castro W.
20. Ruiz K.
6. Julien E.
84. Vivas J.
26. Sullivan B.
26. Nunez N.
Pitchers
43. Hughes G.
24. Cavalli C.
Coaches
. Schaeffer W.
. Butera B.
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 3.
Colorado has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Washington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Colorado has had a series of home games.
Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 99:113. (average 5:5.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:66. (average 5.1:6.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Rockies - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 45.18%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.
Washington Nationals - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 54.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Canada
World
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McCarthy J. 
Tena J. 
Carrigg C. 
Castro W. 
Ruiz K. 
Julien E. 
Vivas J. 
Sullivan B. 
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