Match Info

LKL

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Siauliu arena (Šiauliai)


	Šiauliai		Gargždai

	1	2
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.24	3.51
	1.31	3.23	Watch
	1.25	3.5
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)	3.43 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šiauliai
73%

Gargždai
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šiauliai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Šiauliai's performance.

Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gargždai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šiauliai than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Šiauliai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gargždai than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gargždai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Šiauliai - Gargždai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Henderson C.	13. Gailius D. (C)
20. McKnight D.	14. Petrilevicius P.
14. Pleikys O.	5. Pipkins J.
25. Romancenko D.	11. Turner J.
99. Valinskas M.	22. Vaistaras L.
Substitutes
9. Baslyk D.	3. Doualla D.
77. Civilis R.	4. Giedraitis K.
7. Fofana S.	33. Meiers M.
8. Kariniauskas V. (C)	7. Mineikis N.
6. Krivas G.	1. Pulliam T.
30. Simanic S.
3. Stanley C.
Coaches
. Songaila D.	. Rinkevicius T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šiauliai won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gargždai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Šiauliai is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Šiauliai won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 679:705. (average 84.9:88.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Šiauliai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 343:373. (average 85.8:93.3).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Siauliai: 1.65% Gargzdai: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Gargzdai	4	3	1	359:357	0.750
4	Siauliai	4	2	2	326:331	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Šiauliai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
31.01.26	Šiauliai - Juventus Utena	102:108 OT ✺
25.01.26	Jonava - Šiauliai	79:85 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
15.01.26	Rytas - Šiauliai	99:94 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.01.26	Šiauliai - Žalgiris Kaunas	71:75 ✺
03.01.26	Šiauliai - Nevėžis Kedainiai	98:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- BC Gargždai-SC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.02.26	Lietkabelis - Gargždai	70:79 ✺
10.01.26	Gargždai - Rytas	82:78 ✺
03.01.26	Jonava - Gargždai	75:82 ✺
27.12.25	Juventus Utena - Gargždai	104:78 ✺
13.12.25	Gargždai - Neptūnas	87:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
22.11.25	Šiauliai - Gargždai	83:94
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
05.11.25	Gargždai - Šiauliai	102:91
15.10.25	Šiauliai - Gargždai	89:83
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
21.09.25	Gargždai - Šiauliai	85:93
11.12.23	Gargždai - Šiauliai	89:92
22.10.23	Šiauliai - Gargždai	79:97
24.04.23	Gargždai - Šiauliai	56:60

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