Match Info

LKL

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Gargzdu arena (Gargzdai)


	Gargždai		Neptūnas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.62
	2.23	1.58
	2.42	1.51
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.36	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gargždai
41.1%

Neptūnas
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gargždai - Neptūnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gargždai will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Neptūnas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos J.	0. Drell H.
23. Krikke B.	14. Echodas M.
77. Lesciauskas K.	5. Franke Y.
0. Mikalauskas A.	37. Tubutis E.
13. Wilson L.	13. Zemaitis K.
Substitutes
8. Gervinas U.	21. Berucka A.
32. Kreismontas R.	10. Fridriksson E.
5. Saulys E. (C)	8. Girdziunas M. (C)
10. Shephard G.	88. Kreismontas L.
24. Sidarevicius A.	7. Sarakauskas S.
98. Stanley D.	17. Somerville R.
22. Vaistaras L.	1. Tarolis D.
Coaches
. Malasauskas P.	. Petrauskas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gargždai won 2.

Neptūnas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Gargždai has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1014:1182 (averaging 78:90.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gargždai against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 456:520 goals (averaging 76:86.7 per game).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.92% Gargzdai: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Gargzdai	4	3	1	359:357	0.750
3	Neptunas	4	2	2	335:326	0.500

Last Results with these Odds

Neptūnas - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.76%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Gargždai-SC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
20.09.26	Gargždai - Šiauliai	90:79 ✺
17.09.26	Gargždai - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:98 ✺
23.05.26	Gargždai - Neptūnas	74:84 ✺
21.05.26	Neptūnas - Gargždai	100:73 ✺
16.05.26	Gargždai - Rytas	103:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLLW
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
23.09.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	99:84 ✺
20.09.26	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	69:93 ✺
13.06.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	82:91 ✺
11.06.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	66:63 ✺
08.06.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	80:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
23.05.26	Gargždai - Neptūnas	74:84
21.05.26	Neptūnas - Gargždai	100:73
10.05.26	Neptūnas - Gargždai	91:97
14.03.26	Gargždai - Neptūnas	81:70
13.12.25	Gargždai - Neptūnas	87:104
11.10.25	Neptūnas - Gargždai	102:74
14.01.24	Neptūnas - Gargždai	100:81

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