Match Info

1. Liga - Round 20

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Hala Sportowa SP no. 50 (Bialystok)

Referee: Ulewinski M. (Pol)


	Żubry Białystok		Polonia Warszawa

	1	2
	1.88	1.76	Watch
	2.71	1.41
	2.51	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.5	1.47
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.84)	1.55 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żubry Białystok
39.8%

Polonia Warszawa
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żubry Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żubry Białystok's form might have worsened.

Polonia Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Warszawa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żubry Białystok than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żubry Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Warszawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Żubry Białystok - Polonia Warszawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Douglas M.	32. Duda M.
0. Haynes-Jones S.	0. Malesa J. (C)
8. Kowalenko W.	88. Poradzki F.
3. Kutta K.	33. Robinson S.
7. Tyszka K. (C)	26. Sulinger J.
Substitutes
2. Didier-Urbaniak B.	12. Borowski S.
17. Itrich M.	77. Niemiec A.
9. Jakubiec D.	5. Osinski J.
11. Klawa L.	11. Pulkotycki P.
49. Proczek B.	10. Trzybinski B.
22. Szpakowski R.	93. Witkowski I.
	13. Zalewski J.
Coaches
. Piechucki K. S.	. Kusy R.

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Białystok won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 87:94.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Polonia Warszawa	3	3	0	285:278	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żubry Białystok
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
29.03.26	Basket Poznań - Żubry Białystok	84:90 ✺
25.03.26	GKS Tychy - Żubry Białystok	89:75 ✺
21.03.26	Żubry Białystok - Decka Pelplin	84:91 ✺
14.03.26	Żubry Białystok - Astoria Bydgoszcz	72:83 ✺
07.03.26	Politechnika Opolska - Żubry Białystok	87:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLL
- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
29.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - WKK Wrocław	77:68 ✺
25.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - ŁKS Łódź	90:66 ✺
22.03.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia Warszawa	79:67 ✺
15.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	93:80 ✺
07.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - Polonia 1912 Leszno	68:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
01.10.25	Polonia Warszawa - Żubry Białystok	94:87

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