Match Info

1. Liga - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Hala Sportowa Kolo (Warsaw)

Referee: Koralewski B. (Pol)


	Polonia Warszawa		Decka Pelplin

	1	2
	2.42	1.46
	2.55	1.46
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.84)	1.49 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warszawa
38.2%

Decka Pelplin
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warszawa's form might have worsened.

Decka Pelplin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Decka Pelplin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Decka Pelplin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Decka Pelplin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Decka Pelplin will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Duda M.	21. Coke-Domingue J.
0. Malesa J. (C)	4. Durski D.
11. Pulkotycki P.	6. Gurtatowski F.
33. Robinson S.	12. Nagel M.
26. Sulinger J.	1. Toczek M.
Substitutes
12. Borowski S.	18. Konopatzki M.
22. Franczuk L.	84. Kuzkow P.
77. Niemiec A.	10. Ratajczak M. (C)
5. Osinski J.	25. Rudzinski O.
88. Poradzki F.	99. Siewruk F.
10. Trzybinski B.	97. Stubba B.
13. Zalewski J.	96. Szczepanski O.
Coaches
. Torrescusa-Jimenez D.	. Knap R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Decka Pelplin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 509:546. (average 72.7:78).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Warszawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 226:218. (average 75.3:72.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Polonia Warszawa	3	3	0	285:278	6
5	Pelplin	4	2	2	337:344	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
07.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - Polonia 1912 Leszno	68:76 ✺
28.02.26	Sokol Lancut - Polonia Warszawa	100:99 ✺
21.02.26	Polonia Warszawa - GKS Tychy	55:69 ✺
14.02.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Polonia Warszawa	86:99 ✺
08.02.26	Polonia Warszawa - Miners Katowice	75:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWW
- Decka Pelplin
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
07.03.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Decka Pelplin	104:81 ✺
01.03.26	Decka Pelplin - Polonia 1912 Leszno	82:75 ✺
22.02.26	Politechnika Opolska - Decka Pelplin	83:106 ✺
13.02.26	Decka Pelplin - Sokol Lancut	83:69 ✺
07.02.26	ŁKS Łódź - Decka Pelplin	95:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
22.11.25	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	79:57
02.03.25	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	71:69
16.11.24	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	89:85
06.04.24	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	81:82
23.12.23	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	76:77 OT
18.01.23	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	79:72
08.10.22	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	79:59

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