Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Ano Liosia Olympic Hall (Athens)


	AEK Athens		Karşıyaka

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.85	1.95
	1.85	1.89
	1.94	1.9
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	1.89 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
50.6%

Karşıyaka
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.

Karşıyaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karşıyaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karşıyaka than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karşıyaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

AEK Athens - Karşıyaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Karşıyaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karşıyaka: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

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Preview

Recent matches AEK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pınar Karşıyaka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pınar Karşıyaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 88-91.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
11.12.22	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	71:57 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.12.22	AEK Athens - Reggiana	68:59 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
03.12.22	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	73:70 ✺
28.11.22	Kolossos Rodou - AEK Athens	73:67 ✺
Champions League Basketball
23.11.22	Baskets Bonn - AEK Athens	80:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Karşıyaka Basket
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
17.12.22	Darüşşafaka - Karşıyaka	71:87 ✺
10.12.22	Karşıyaka - Petkim Spor	96:75 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.12.22	Karşıyaka - Baskets Bonn	80:89 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.12.22	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Karşıyaka	111:112 OT (90:90) ✺
26.11.22	Karşıyaka - Merkezefendi	92:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
04.10.22	Karşıyaka - AEK Athens	91:88

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