Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Ano Liosia Olympic Hall (Athens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	DAZN 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	AEK Athens		Unicaja Malaga

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.72	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.44
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.76	1.44	Watch
	2.72	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.66)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
34.2%

Unicaja Malaga
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Unicaja Malaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

AEK Athens - Unicaja Malaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Unicaja will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unicaja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bryce C.	7. Barreiro J.
33. Golden G.	9. Diaz A. (C)
0. Gray R.	4. Kalinoski T.
3. Hubb P.	1. Osetkowski D.
21. Netzipoglou O.	77. Sima Y.
Substitutes
7. Flionis D. (C)	2. Balcerowski A.
77. Hale H.	11. Carter T.
4. Karampelas Z.	45. Kravish D.
24. Kouzeloglou I.	0. Perez T.
19. Kuzminskas M.	55. Perry K.
1. Skordilis G.	6. Taylor K.
59. Tucker R.	33. Tillie K.
Coaches
. Sakota D.	. Navarro I.

Preview

AEK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unicaja is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Unicaja might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 131:163. (average 65.5:81.5).

Including home match between the teams, AEK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 65:75.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
04.05.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	87:85 ✺
27.04.25	AEK Athens - PAOK	89:85 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
23.04.25	AEK Athens - Nanterre	104:69 ✺
16.04.25	Nanterre - AEK Athens	82:70 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
12.04.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	94:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL
- Unicaja Málaga
Spanish ACB League
04.05.25	Unicaja Malaga - BC Andorra	98:80 ✺
01.05.25	Canarias - Unicaja Malaga	78:91 ✺
27.04.25	Barcelona - Unicaja Malaga	83:81 ✺
19.04.25	Unicaja Malaga - Bilbao Basket	96:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.04.25	Reggiana - Unicaja Malaga	72:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
21.03.23	AEK Athens - Unicaja Malaga	65:75
25.01.23	Unicaja Malaga - AEK Athens	88:66

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