Match Info

ITALY: Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: PalaCarnera (Udine)


	APU Udine		Matelica

	1	2
	1.67	2.06
	1.57	2.3
	1.61	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)	2.19 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 131.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APU Udine
57.6%

Matelica
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APU Udine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that APU Udine's form might have worsened.

Matelica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matelica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APU Udine than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APU Udine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matelica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

APU Udine - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:65

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Bacchini C. (C)	16. Bonvecchio I.
5. Bovenzi G.	8. Celani N.
13. Gianolla C.	13. Gonzalez D. (C)
8. Penna V.	12. Gramaccioni B.
9. Sasso E.	15. Poggio A.
Substitutes
17. Agostini G.	33. Andreanelli L.
16. Cancelli A.	73. Catarozzo A.
24. Casella M.	7. Patane G.
32. Gregori A.	41. Sanchez E.
62. Zanelli L.	14. Zamparini A.
Coaches
. Riga M.	. Sorgentone D.

Preview

Udine is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matelica is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Udine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Udine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 70:66

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APU Udine
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
16.03.25	Vicenza - APU Udine	49:57 ✺
01.03.25	APU Udine - Virtus Eirene Ragusa	67:70 OT ✺
22.02.25	Mantova - APU Udine	75:55 ✺
19.02.25	Rovigo - APU Udine	71:62 ✺
16.02.25	APU Udine - Umbertide	53:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Basket Matelica
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
15.03.25	Matelica - Mantova	82:87 ✺
02.03.25	Umbertide - Matelica	51:57 ✺
22.02.25	Matelica - Vigarano	74:54 ✺
15.02.25	Ancona - Matelica	42:66 ✺
08.02.25	Matelica - BC Bolzano	81:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
07.12.24	Matelica - APU Udine	66:70

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