Match Info

Euroleague - Round 15

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Salle Gaston Medecin (Monaco)

Referee: Peerandi R. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	AS Monaco Basket		Fenerbahçe

	1	2
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.15
	1.37	3.23
	1.38	3.28
	1.33	3
	1.38	3.22	Watch
	1.37	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	3.17 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AS Monaco Basket
69.9%

Fenerbahçe
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AS Monaco Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AS Monaco Basket's performance.

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenerbahçe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AS Monaco Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 1 - 50%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +9.5, OT - Fenerbahçe (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 168.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Blossomgame J.	13. Biberovic T.
11. Diallo A.	92. Birch K.
55. James M.	20. Hall D.
0. Okobo E.	8. Horton-Tucker T.
10. Theis D.	4. Melli N.
Substitutes
23. Begarin J.	0. Bacot A.
13. Hayes K.	2. Baldwin W.
5. Makoundou Y.	1. Birsen J.
33. Mirotic N.	11. Boston B.
32. Strazel M.	50. Colson B.
22. Tarpey T.	10. Mahmutoglu M.
	32. Zagars A.
Coaches
. Spanoulis V.	. Jasikevicius S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.

Monaco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fenerbahçe is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fenerbahçe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.

In this match, Monaco is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1181:1169. (average 84.4:83.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 685:669. (average 85.6:83.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco Basket
French LNB
06.12.25	Dijon - AS Monaco Basket	86:99 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	125:104 ✺
French Cup Basketball
02.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	109:103 ✺
Euroleague
26.11.25	AS Monaco Basket - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	102:66 ✺
French LNB
23.11.25	AS Monaco Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL
- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
07.12.25	Merkezefendi - Fenerbahçe	64:87 ✺
Euroleague
25.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	66:64 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
23.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Bursaspor	92:84 ✺
Euroleague
21.11.25	Partizan Belgrade - Fenerbahçe	87:99 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
16.11.25	Esenler Erokspor - Fenerbahçe	80:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
25.05.25	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	70:81
20.03.25	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	91:82
12.12.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	69:99
08.05.24	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	79:80 OT
03.05.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	62:65
01.05.24	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	89:78
26.04.24	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	93:88

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